Tuesday, 1 March 2016

LEARN FROM THE MOST SUCCESSFUL TRADERS OF ALL TIMES




I have read dozens of trading and trading related books over the years and I have extracted a huge collection of trading quotes with tips and advice I use in my daily trading. Listening to what the most successful people have to say, adopting ideas that helped them overcome their greatest struggles and following their advice can be of great value. At least for me I can say that following the best traders and incorporating their ideas into my own trading made a huge difference. This is why I am going to share with you the greatest tips, help you understand their meanings and how to use it in your own trading.


Losses and risk management


It is obvious that in every trading book, dealing with losses and risk management always comes first. It doesn’t matter which trader you listen to, every top trader puts great focus on the importance of losing efficiently and having a good risk management approach in place.

I tend to cut bad trades as soon as possible, forget them, and then move on to new opportunities. The elements of good trading are: (1) cutting losses, (2) cutting losses, and (3) cutting losses. If you follow these three rules, you may have a chance. – Ed Seykota

A loss never bothers me after I take it. I forget it overnight. But being wrong – not taking the loss – that is what does damage to the pocketbook and to the soul. – Jesse Livermore

The most important rule of investing is to play great defense, not great offense. Every day I assume every position I have is wrong. Always question yourself and your ability. Don’t ever feel that you are very good. The second you do, you are dead. Always maintain your sense of confidence, but keep it in check. – Paul Tudor Jones

Risk control is the most important thing in trading. If you have a losing position that is making you uncomfortable, the solution is very simple: Get out, because you can always get back in. – Paul Tudor Jones

You should always have a worst case point. The only choice should be to get out quicker. – Richard Dennis

Place your stops at a point that, if reached, will reasonably indicate that the trade is wrong, not at a point determined primarily by the maximum dollar amount you are willing to lose. – Bruce Kovner

The first rule of trading – there are probably many first rules – is don’t get caught in a situation in which you can lose a great deal of money for reasons you don’t understand. – Bruce Kovner


The common denominator among all those quotes is that cutting losses fast and moving on the next trade is essential. Don’t dwell over lost trades; a single trade is absolutely meaningless for your overall path as a trader, but most traders let losers get out of hand and they allow a single losing trade to have a significant impact on their account balance. Furthermore, honor your stop and always place it at a level where it indicates that your trade idea was wrong, not just based on money related objectives or to achieve a certain reward:risk ratio.

Emotions and mindset


Emotional stability and discipline is the foundation upon which a trader has to build his trading methodology. Without the ability to control emotions and the impulsive trading decisions emotions cause, the best trading system and the best thought-out risk management approach are useless.

I truly feel that I could give away all my secrets and it wouldn’t make any difference.Most people can’t control their emotions or follow a system. – Linda Raschke

Markets are never wrong – opinions often are. – Jesse Livermore

I don’t get caught up in the moment. – Ray Dalio

If you argue with the market, you will lose. – Larry Hite

The psychological factor for investing has 5 areas. These include a well-rounded personal life, a positive attitude, the motivation to make money, lack of conflict [such as psychological hang ups about success], and responsibility for results. -Dr. Van K. Tharp

It is hard enough to know what the market is going to do; if you don’t know what you are going to do, the game is lost. – Alexander Elder


These quote highlight the fact that, before you get into the nitty-gritty of your trading system and try to tweak your stop loss or take profit placement, you have to work on your discipline. It is not a stop loss order that should have been placed 5 points higher or lower that makes the difference between a consistently losing and a profitable trader, but the degree to how a trader can avoid emotionally caused trading mistakes.

Development and self-improvement


Trading is a performance game and only the best will make it to the top and stay there. Professional traders work very hard and are often obsessed with trading, whereas the average amateur trader reduces their trading time to flipping through time-frames to hunt trades or read through forums trying to find a better system. Professionals understand that they have put in the work and that the learning never ends.

Successful traders constantly ask themselves: What am I doing right? What am I doing wrong? How can I do what I am doing better? How can I get more information? – Bill Lipschutz

I really value the fact that I’ve learned to trade as a craft. Like any craft, such as piano playing, perfection may be elusive – I’ll never play a piece perfectly, and I’ll never buy the low and sell the high – but consistency is achievable if you practice day in and day out. – Linda Raschke

I learned that each mistake was probably a reflection of something that I was doing wrong, so if I could figure out what that was, I could learn how to be more effective. I learned that wrestling with my problems, mistakes, and weaknesses was the training that strengthened me. Also, I learned that it was the pain of this wrestling that made me and those around me appreciate our successes. – Ray Dalio

When you think that it’s too hard, remember that in the long run, doing the things that will make you successful is a lot easier than being unsuccessful. – Ray Dalio

If you don’t work very hard, it is extremely unlikely that you will be a good trader. – Bruce Kovner

The realization that you are responsible for your results is the key to successful investing. Winners know they are responsible for their results; losers think they are not. – Dr. Van K. Tharp


Use this moment to look at your own trading. Do you put in the work that you should? Do you constantly work on your trading skills and review your trades to build your edge? Or do you just play around and are one of those system-hopping traders who can’t let go of the illusion that someday they will just stumble over the Holy Grail trading system that just works all the time?

More trading tips


Here, I gathered trading quotes of different areas and also with a few practical tips.

I review my checklist. It’s a handwritten sheet laminated in plastic and taped to the right-hand corner of my desk where I can’t overlook it. – Marty Schwartz

Marty Schwartz who has made millions of Dollars still uses a physical trade checklist to control his trading and to avoid making mistakes. If one of the best traders in the history does not trade without a checklist, why should you?

Systems don’t need to be changed. The trick is for a trader to develop a system with which he is compatible. – Ed Seykota

A system is not something that you purchase from a website and then just follow the instructions. A trading system is a complex structure and it has to be tailored around your personal strength, weaknesses and your mindset.

Having a quote machine is like having a slot machine at your desk – you end up feeding it all day long. I get my price data after the close each day. – Ed Seykota

Although Ed Seykota refers to quoting machines, it can be easily translated to today’s world. Traders constantly watch their floating account balance and P&L. They babysit their trades and watch every tick of the move. This inevitably leads to impulsive decisions and trade mismanagement. Get away from your charts and let the markets do what they want.

Money is made by sitting, not trading. – Jesse Livermore

Livermore highlights the importance of patience and just waiting; waiting for the right setup and the right time to enter the market, waiting for the right time to do something about your trade and being patient about trade exits. People always feel that they ‘have to do something’ and so move around stop loss and take profit orders and constantly micro-manage their trades.

Always understand the risk/reward of the trade as it now stands, not as it existed when you put the position on.”– Bill Lipschutz

The dynamic nature of reward:risk ratio is totally misunderstood and often even completely neglected. The reward:risk ratio of your trade constantly changes which brings many questions.

Conclusion: Learn from the best


You will not be able to reach out to Paul Tudor Jones or Marty Schwartz and let them teach you how to trade, but you don’t have to either. There are so many resources and great books out there, in which the most successful traders share their journeys, their struggles and how they overcame it. I urge you to take the chance and start mirroring what the professionals do. If you want to get started, I highly recommend the complete Market Wizards series to kick-start your trading!

Source: The source of this informative artcile is http://www.tradeciety.com/ -. Do check the link for awesome articles.

Friday, 19 February 2016

THREE ESSENTIAL INGREDIENTS OF EFFECTIVE TRADING PROCESSES





Efficiency is of limited value if we're not effective. We not only need to do things right, but ensure that we're doing the right things.

What goes into successful trading processes? Here are three hallmarks of effectiveness that I've observed across a variety of professional traders:



1) Original Research


I recently spoke with a trader about the difference between trading ideas that you develop for yourself vs. ideas that you borrow from what your read or hear from others. The successful traders I know do their own work. Yes, they discuss ideas with people and, yes, they read research, but where they add value is in how they synthesize that information. Without digging into ideas on your own, you never truly achieve a sense of discovery and conviction in those ideas. As a result, it's easy to give up on the trades as soon as they encounter adverse price movement. The best trading ideas are distinguished by their breadth (combining information across time frames and/or markets); depth (level of detail and understanding); and originality (looking at new things or viewing old things in new ways). Successful generation of ideas goes beyond consensus thinking.









2) Planful Expression and Management of Trades


 The successful traders I know put considerable time into structuring their trades (finding very good risk/reward) and managing their positions (scaling in or out of trades, managing risk/reward in real time). One trader recently wanted to benefit from an anticipated decline in stocks, but was concerned about sharp short-covering rallies. He bought a long dated put spread and limited his dollar exposure to the trade. That allowed him to ride out market choppiness and take a nice profit on the position when volatility expanded. The thoughtful use of options enabled him to participate in a move that others missed because of getting stopped out due to market noise. Yet another trader I know achieved a similar end by holding modestly sized core positions, trading with wider stops, and tactically taking profits when markets became stretched in a favorable direction. Money management is central to the effectiveness of trading processes.





3) Detailed Reviews


The best trading processes include an element of quality control. By periodically reviewing performance and highlighting areas for improvement, traders ensure that they are learning and developing even as they may be drawing down. As I've emphasized elsewhere, those detailed reviews also include episodes of very positive performance. Traders who reverse engineer and map out their strengths are in a good position to turn best practices into process-driven habits. Trading reviews provide the foundation of trading goals, and trading goals provide the template for future trading plans and actions. Without reviews, goal setting, and further reviews, trading experience will not turn into trading expertise. We learn, not from experience, but from what we do with our experience.





How effective is your trading? What are you doing that is special and unique in each of these three areas? If we don't do great things each day, our experience is unlikely to add up to anything great.


SOURCE: This article is written by Dr Brett Steenbarger @http://traderfeed.blogspot.in/

Thursday, 18 February 2016

DISCRETIONARY VERSUS SYSTEMATIC TRADERS


The difference between traders that rely on their instincts and chart reading abilities and those who are pure system traders.



DISCRETIONARY TRADERS..


…trade information flow.

…are trying to anticipate what the market will do.

…are subjective; they read their own opinions and past experiences into the current market action.

…trade what they want and have loose rules to govern their trading.

…are usually very emotional in their trading and taking their losses personally because their opinion was wrong and their ego is hurt.

…use many different indicators to trade at different times. Sometimes it may be macro economic indicators, chart patterns, or even macroeconomic news. They are very “flavor of the month” in that regards.

… generally have a very small watch list of stocks and markets to trade based mostly off the time on their expertise of the markets they trade.

SYSTEMATIC TRADERS..


…trade price flow.

…are participating in what the market is doing.

…are objective. They have no opinion about the market and are following what the market is actually doing, i.e. following that trend.

…have few but very strict and defined rules to govern their entries and exits, risk management, and position size.

…are unemotional because when they lose it is simply that the market was not conducive to their system. They know that they will win over the long term.

…always use the exact same technical indicators for their entries and exits. They never change them.

…trade many markets and are trading their technical system based on prices and trends so they do not need to be an expert on the fundamentals.


While discretionary traders are busy trying to digest what fundamental news and information mean, systematic traders are taking the signals they are getting from actual price movement in the market. Systematic traders are not thinking and predicting what the market is going to do, they are reacting to what the majority is doing based on their predetermined system’s entry signals.


For the average trader being a 100% Mechanical System Trader usually maximizes the chance of success in the markets, especially if you are using a historically proven profitable system. If you are removing the emotions and ego out of your trading and are controlling your risk of ruin with proper trade size and stop losses, then you have probability on your side of joining the consistently profitable traders in the market.


Now what sort of trader do you want to be?


SOURCE: This nice article is written by Steve Burns @ http://www.newtraderu.com/

Monday, 26 October 2015

MAD MONEY...MAD MARKET??

The efficient market hypothesis (EMH) has been a highly controversial topic among financial academics for decades, and CNBC's Jim Cramer is adding fuel to the fire. Volumes of journal articles, studies and other types of scholarly works have been churned out by supporters and critics of this hypothesis and the topic continues to be debated. Read on to find out how Cramer's in-your-face stock recommendations on CNBC's "Mad Money" provide evidence that the market behaves inefficiently.


Implications Of EMH






The efficient market hypothesis contends that all equities are priced in a manner that reflects all relevant information about the stocks and/or the market. One implication of EMH suggests that because market prices should instantly reflect information as it occurs, performing research through fundamental analysis should not yield any new information that can allow an investor to make market-beating investment decisions.


According to EMH, market efficiency also causes prices to be unpredictable and, therefore, technical analysis should not be able to yield indicators and chart patterns that serve predictive purposes.

Keep in mind that these implications are based only on EMH theory; there is much debate about the extent to which markets are efficient - or whether they are efficient at all. For example, counter to EMH, there are examples of investment strategies where fundamental analysis has proven to be successful. In fact, the "Oracle of Omaha", Warren Buffett, has earned consistantly market-beating returns for several decades by using fundamental analysis to pinpoint underpriced companies.

The Study


Researchers from Northwestern University's Kellogg School of Management released a study called "Is the Market Mad? Evidence from 'Mad Money' " in March of 2006, which showed how Jim Cramer's recommendations on "Mad Money" have created a predictable trend, which some investors have used to make fairly high returns in a relatively short time frame.

For those who aren't familiar with "Mad Money", the show's host, Jim Cramer is a former hedge fund manager. On "Mad Money", Jim Cramer gives his buy/sell recommendation on a number of featured stocks, including stocks suggested by viewers' phone calls or emails. The show has become very popular - its entertaining nature about financial matters attracted more than 300,000 viewers nightly in 2006.





In this study, researchers had gathered stock returns, daily volume data, intraday quotes and other kinds of financial information on buy recommendations that Cramer made between July 28 and October 14, 2005. One of their key findings provides proof of the existence of the "Cramer bounce". According to the study, Cramer's buy recommendation causes a statistically significant short-term rise in the stock's price on the day directly following the day it is recommended. This rise is most apparent for small stocks, where the increase is just over 5% compared to the previous close. For the entire sample, the average rise is almost 2%.


Does this study suggest that Cramer has a knack for finding undervalued stocks at the right time? No. Instead, the researchers in this study theorize that stocks become overpriced because a large number of "Mad Money" viewers blindly buy stocks based on Cramer's recommendation. In other words, these rises were not attributed to any new news that companies had released and, most importantly, they were not sustained for very long. In fact, the study demonstrated that these increases faded away within 12 days. The inflation in stock prices that occurs as a result of Cramer's recommendations allows clever investors to obtain higher returns and, therefore, serves as evidence against the efficiency of the market.





The study also found that trading volume on the stocks that Cramer recommended also spiked dramatically. For smaller stocks, the trading volume increased by as much as 900% on the day following the recommendation. The most interesting effect is that, in some cases, the level of turnover stayed significantly elevated for as long as 16 days after the recommendation was made. It also appears that Cramer's recommended stocks generally receive much higher buyer-initiated trades on the day following a recommendation to buy. This may reflect a flood of purchase orders from regular "Mad Money" viewers. This peak in the proportion of buyer-initiated trades ultimately drops back to pre-recommendation levels after about 12 days. This suggests that Cramer's recommendations have a direct effect on stocks' prices.

Other Effects


The Northwestern researchers also looked at two other aspects of Cramer's recommendations: their effects on the bid-ask spread and the amount of short selling in the market.

According to the study, short sales tended to spike dramatically within the opening minutes of the trading day following Cramer's recommendation. Because successful short sellers borrow stocks to sell when prices are high and then buy them back to cover their positions when the prices are low, it could be inferred that at least some investors are aware of the Cramer bounce and are attempting to profit from what they see as an overvalued stock.


It was also determined that the bid-ask spread for recommended stocks did not change at any point in time. This is significant because a lack of change in the bid ask spread suggests that market makers do not fear the prospect of information asymmetry as a result of Cramer's recommendations. This is because nothing new about the stock has surfaced during that time and, therefore, the current bid-ask spread should still reflect the stocks' fundamentals following Cramer's recommendation, even if the market value of the stock does not.

Why Is This Important?


One of the biggest assumptions (and potentially the biggest flaw) of the EMH is that investors are rational. This study provides evidence that the irrational behaviors of individual participants in the financial world can create predictable, collective actions that can have at least a short-term influence on stock prices. For the most part, it can be assumed that the investors that are contributing to the Cramer bounce phenomenon are making stock purchases as a result of Jim Cramer's influence, rather than as a product of rational thought.


As a general rule, emotional investors that buy stocks without doing their homework tend to miss out on good returns. In this situation, Cramer's recommendations are expensive in the days after being featured on "Mad Money" and, all things being equal, will tend to lose value as their prices settle back to pre-Cramer bounce levels.


Social Learning TheoryIn psychology, the observational, or social learning theory details certain conditions that need to be met before an observer's behavior changes as a result of observing a model's behavior. One of the key points of this theory is that an observer is more likely to pay attention and follow another person's behavior if that person possesses qualities that the observer finds to be desirable. Jim Cramer's recommendations can easily sway the more emotional investors into performing trades without conducting a good amount of research, because many may feel that he is an authority on stocks and that his word should be good enough.


This study also found a way for certain traders to almost consistently create a steady stream of returns. More specifically, this refers to how short sellers can regularly take advantage of the Cramer bounce and short sell stocks on the day following the recommendations and then buy them back a couple of days later to earn an almost arbitrage-like profit. According to the EMH, consistently predicting and capitalizing on the market's movements should be impossible because the market moves in an unpredictable fashion.


On the flip side, we should note that the stocks' prices did eventually return to their "true" values. Therefore, while the behavior of stocks featured on "Mad Money" isn't consistent with EMH, this study also shows that stocks are (eventually) driven by fundamentals. While in this case the stocks returned to their original values in a short time span, bubbles of this sort can also continue for years, as was the case with the dotcom bubble of the late '90s.

Dont Go Mad Yourself


EMH relies on the assumption that the main players in the market are rational. This study is an example of how irrational behavior can cause stock prices to fluctuate in a manner that is contrary to EMH theory. Investors should not discount the role that emotion and investor psychology play in the way the market behaves. While there is no formula or indicator that can account for or assess the emotional aspects of investing, investors can save themselves from being caught up in "madness" by investing prudently, rather than just following the crowd.

Source : By Albert Phung @ http://www.investopedia.com/

Thursday, 22 October 2015

TO BE A CHAMPION TRADER THINK LIKE THEM



I meet and learn from Champion Traders every day. Not just in trading rooms but in Champions of other fileds like Sports,Arts, Music etc. I’ve learned that to be a champion you must Think Like a Champion. Champions think differently than everyone else. They approach their life and work with a different mindset and belief system that separates them from the pack.

1. Champion Trader Expect to Win – When they walk on the court, on the field, into a meeting or in a trading room they expect to win. In fact they are surprised when they don’t win. They expect success and their positive beliefs often lead to positive actions and outcomes. They win in their mind first and rest comes by default.

2. Champion Trader Celebrate the Small Wins – By celebrating the small wins champions gain the confidence to go after the big wins. Big wins and big success happen through the accumulation of many small victories. Its similar to every trade cannot be a blockbuster trade they comes once in a while. This doesn’t mean champions become complacent. Rather, with the right kind of celebration and reinforcement, champions work harder, practice more and believe they can do greater things.

3. Champion Trader Don’t Make Excuses When They Don’t Win – They don’t focus on the faults of others. They focus on what they can do better. They see their mistakes and defeats as opportunities for growth. As a result they become stronger, wiser and better. Champion Traders do not blame market for their losses but introspect within themselves and try to correct mistake and vow not to repeat again.

4. Champion Trader Focus on What They Get To Do, Not What They Have To Do – They see their life and work as a gift not an obligation. They know that if they want to achieve a certain outcome they must commit to and appreciate the process. They may not love every minute of their journey but their attitude and will helps them develop their skill.

5. Champion Trader Believe They Will Experience More Wins in the Future – Their faith is greater than their fear. Their positive energy is greater than the chorus of negativity. Their certainty is greater than all the doubt. Their passion and purpose are greater than their challenges. In spite of their situation champions believe their best days are ahead of them, not behind them.

If you don’t think you have what it takes to be a Champion Trader, think again.





Champion Trader aren’t born. They are shaped and molded.


And as iron sharpens iron you can develop your mindset and the mindset of your team with the right thinking, beliefs and expectations that lead to powerful actions.

Wednesday, 14 October 2015

THE REAL REASON WE TRADE EMOTIONALLY

OK, so here comes one of my best posts.

Ready?

I'll give you a view you won't hear from any mentor, coach, guru, or furu.

Why do so many traders talk about trading being a mental game and making bad trades because of emotions? Why do you find yourself making the same mistakes again and again, making money only to lose it?

Is it because you lack discipline? Is it because you cannot control your emotions? Is it because you don't stick with a trading process?

No.

You have emotional problems in markets because you're the market's bitch.

You heard me right, Mr. Independent Trader who doesn't want a 9 to 5 job and wants to only work for himself. You're the market's bitch.

From open to close, you're hanging on every market tick, letting it sway your thoughts and feelings.

When the market treats you well, you feel good. When it treats you poorly, you feel like crap. When the market's not moving, you don't know what to do.

If you behaved that way in any relationship--with your boss at work or your spouse at home--everyone would see that you're someone else's bitch. But with markets, you tell yourself it's dedication, it's a passion for trading.

Bullshit. You the market's bitch.

You have a relationship with the market and anytime you're controlled in a relationship, you're the bitch.

The only way to have an even relationship with the market is to control when you play, so that you don't get played.

That takes rules, that takes finding and sticking to edges--and it takes the willingness to not play when your edges aren't screamingly apparent.

What you got ain't passion for trading; it's a need to play.

If you need to play, you're going to get played. You're going to be controlled by market behavior. You're going to be the market's bitch.

Source: By Brett Steenbarger @ http://traderfeed.blogspot.in/

Wednesday, 30 September 2015

TRADING SUCCESS MANTRA FROM JOHN MURPHY





“My work has gotten better due to simplifying my approach,” John J. Murphy



Murphy said he relies heavily on five or six “useful” technical indicators, including relative strength indicators, trendlines, moving averages, Bollinger bands, classic chart patterns such as triangles and double tops, and Fibonacci retracement levels.

“You must trade a combination of technical signals, not just one” indicator, said Murphy. He said that many times he’ll set up a “good” column and a “bad” column regarding technical studies. If the “good” column has the overwhelming evidence supporting a selected trade, Murphy will enter the trade. But if the evidence supporting a trade is not strong enough, he’ll bypass the trade.

On moving averages for individual stocks, Murphy likes to use the 50-, 100-, and 200-day moving averages. If the 200-day moving average on an individual stock is broken on the downside, “big trouble” is in store for that stock. Also for stock sectors, he said if a 50-day moving average breaks down, “that sector is in trouble.”

Another good technical indicator is the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), said Murphy. The MACD uses exponential moving averages, as opposed to the simple moving averages used with an oscillator. Gerald Appel is credited with developing the study.

Longer-term technical signals are more powerful than shorter-term signals, said Murphy. “Longer-term charts give you the value of perspective,” he said.

Many traders consider Murphy’s book, “Technical Analysis of the Futures Markets” to be the bible of technical analysis.Murphy heads his own consulting firm, based in Oradell, N.J.